Cisco Guided Fiscal 2027 Above the Street and Lost 8.4% Anyway. The Argument Was About Margin.

Cisco Systems (Nasdaq: CSCO) reported fiscal fourth-quarter and full-year 2026 results after the close on Wednesday, August 12 — a point worth stating plainly, because Thursday, August 13 was the reaction session, not the reporting session. The stock closed Thursday at $113.47, down 8.4%, a figure confirmed both by The Motley Fool's close-of-session market wrap and by GuruFocus, which described the move explicitly as a close.
The results were, by Cisco's own accounting, records. Fourth-quarter revenue was $17.3 billion, up 18% year over year from $14.7 billion. GAAP earnings were $0.97 per share; non-GAAP earnings were $1.22. Product revenue reached $13.5 billion, up 24%, while services revenue of $3.8 billion was broadly flat. Networking revenue rose 28%, security 14% and collaboration 12%.
The order book was stronger than the revenue line. Product orders grew 35% year over year in the fourth quarter, and still grew 25% excluding hyperscalers. Networking product orders grew 40%. Cisco booked $4 billion of hyperscaler AI infrastructure orders in the quarter and $9.3 billion for fiscal 2026 as a whole; the company said orders from neocloud, sovereign and enterprise AI customers added a further $1.3 billion over the year, and it expects $7.5 billion of hyperscaler AI orders in fiscal 2027.
For the full year, revenue was $63.3 billion, up 12%. GAAP EPS was $3.33, up 31%; non-GAAP EPS was $4.33, up 14%. The gap between those two growth rates is itself a reminder to read the basis before reading the number.
Chair and Chief Executive Chuck Robbins tied the result to portfolio breadth in the release. "We delivered a very strong close to fiscal 2026, marking another record year for Cisco. Our record performance is a testament to the accelerated pace of innovation and the excellent execution by our teams. With the breadth and depth of our portfolio and our competitive differentiation in secure networking, Cisco is well positioned to support our customers however or wherever they decide to deploy AI," he said.
The guidance did not read like a stock that should fall 8%. Cisco guided fiscal first-quarter 2027 revenue to $18.0 billion to $18.2 billion, GAAP EPS to $1.08 to $1.10 and non-GAAP EPS to $1.32 to $1.34. For the full fiscal year it guided revenue to $72.2 billion to $73.4 billion, GAAP EPS to $4.00 to $4.06 and non-GAAP EPS to $5.05 to $5.11. Benzinga's tally put consensus at roughly $16.8 billion of first-quarter revenue and $1.16 of adjusted EPS, and about $68.69 billion and $4.80 for the year — meaning the company guided materially above where the Street was carrying it on both the quarter and the year.
What deteriorated was margin. Cisco's non-GAAP gross margin was 66.3% in the fourth quarter, against 68.4% in the year-ago quarter per the company's fiscal 2025 fourth-quarter release — a 210-basis-point compression. On a GAAP basis, gross margin was 64.1% versus 65.7% a year earlier. Within the quarter, non-GAAP product gross margin was 64.8% and non-GAAP services gross margin 71.6%. The Motley Fool's Thursday wrap attributed the compression in part to elevated costs for AI-related components, memory among them.
That is a coherent trade even if it is an uncomfortable one. A company can convert an order surge into revenue growth and still see the cost of the parts required to fill those orders rise faster than the price it charges. Cisco's non-GAAP operating margin held up at 35.9% in the quarter and 34.8% for the year, up 40 basis points, so the pressure showed up above the operating line rather than through it.
Chief Financial Officer Mark Patterson emphasized the operating side in the release. "In Q4, we delivered record revenue, non-GAAP operating income and EPS, all exceeding the high end of our guidance ranges and demonstrating strong financial discipline and operating leverage," he said. "In fiscal 2026, Cisco achieved its highest productivity metrics in 30 years measured by revenue, non-GAAP operating margin, and earnings per employee."
There is a second, less technical explanation circulating for the size of the drop. StockStory's Thursday piece argued the results were substantially priced in, given how far the stock had run into the print on the AI networking narrative, and characterized the session as profit-taking rather than a rejection of the numbers. Both readings — margin compression and positioning — can be true at once, and the available reporting does not let a reader cleanly separate them.
The broader tape offered no cover for a sector-wide explanation. The S&P 500 closed at 7,798.99, up 0.65%, the Russell 2000 at 3,052.85 and the Nasdaq Composite at 26,803.03, up 0.81%, per the Associated Press; the S&P 500 and Russell 2000 both set record closes, per Schaeffer's Investment Research. Networking peers moved in different directions: Arista Networks closed down 3.27% at $203.62 while Hewlett Packard Enterprise closed up 1.75% at $59.82, according to The Motley Fool's session wrap.
For anyone tracking the fiscal 2027 story from here, the disclosure to watch is not the revenue range — Cisco has given itself a wide one and an order book to defend it — but whether adjusted gross margin stabilizes as component costs work through the model. Cisco has told the market what it expects to sell. It has not yet shown what those sales will be worth at the gross line.
Sources & further reading
- Cisco Systems — Cisco Reports Fourth Quarter and Fiscal Year 2026 Earnings
- Cisco Systems — Cisco Reports Fourth Quarter and Fiscal Year 2025 Earnings
- The Motley Fool — Stock Market Today, Aug. 13: Cisco Falls on Margin Concerns Despite Record Revenue and AI Demand
- GuruFocus — Cisco Systems Inc (CSCO) Shares Fall 8.4%
- Benzinga — Cisco Says AI Boom Is Forcing Companies To Upgrade Networks
- StockStory via FinancialContent — Why Cisco (CSCO) Stock Is Down Today
- AP — How major US stock indexes fared Thursday 8/13/2026
- Schaeffer's Investment Research — S&P 500, Russell 2000 Score Record Closes as Stocks Rise
- Cisco Newsroom — Cisco Reports Fourth Quarter Earnings

